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The Lake News Online
  • 29 years in the making

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  • The United States Census Bureau says that the median age in the state of Missouri is 37.4, which means that the last time this phenomenon occurred, most of the state’s population was in the third grade.
    The phenomenon discussed here is both of Missouri’s Major League Baseball teams qualifying for the postseason. The last time this occurred was when the two teams met in the World Series in 1985, nearly 29 years ago.
    Going into play on Monday night, the Kansas City Royals are 63-53, one-half game behind the Detroit Tigers for the American League Central lead and currently in possession of the AL’s second wild card spot.
    The St. Louis Cardinals sit at 62-54, two games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League Central but currently in possession of the NL’s top wild card berth.
    According to the Monte Carlo simulations, the Cardinals have a 63% chance of qualifying for the postseason either as the NL Central champion or one of the NL’s two wild card teams.
    The simulations currently post a probability of 48% for the Royals to make the playoffs, either as the AL Central champion or one of the AL’s two wild card teams.
    The Monte Carlo simulations are a series of computer-generated simulations, numbering in the thousands, of a team’s likelihood of qualifying for the postseason based on incorporating a team's year-to-date run differential, current roster composition, playing time projections and remaining schedule.
    If the season ended right now, both of Missouri’s MLB teams would be in the playoffs. It’s been a long time coming.

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