Storm system still organizing, exact path of storm uncertain


Current radar image


 


A storm system organizing over the southwest United States will track into the southern plains by Friday morning.

A cold Canadian airmass will filter into the region ahead of this system, setting the stage for accumulating wintry precipitation across the Missouri Ozarks and southeast Kansas. 

Light precipitation is expected to begin across extreme southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas thursday afternoon and then is expected to overspread the remainder of the Missouri Ozarks Thursday night while increasing in intensity.

Precipitation may initially begin as freezing drizzle Thursday afternoon with a change over to sleet and snow Thursday night. All snow is expected on Friday.  Significant accumulations of snow and sleet are possible across southern Missouri, with the best chances for accumulating sleet along and south of the Highway 60 corridor.

Mainly snow is expected north of Highway 60. Minor ice accumulations will also be possible across extreme Southern Missouri and southeast Kansas, mainly south of a Columbus, Kan., to Springfield to West Plains, Mo., line.

If any ice accumulation does occur, it would likely be Thursday afternoon or early Thursday evening, with the best chances near the Oklahoma and Arkansas borders. 

Uncertainty remains on the track of this winter storm and the resulting precipitation type and amounts. However, there is increasing confidence that a significant winter storm with heavy snow and sleet will impact much of southern Missouri and extreme southeast Kansas.

Short-term forecast

Late Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Wind chill values as low as 37. Southwest wind between 3 and 5 mph.

Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 20. North wind between 5 and 9 mph.

Thursday: A slight chance of snow and sleet after noon. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 24. Wind chill values as low as 11. North wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday Night: Snow and sleet likely before midnight, then snow. Low around 14. Wind chill values as low as 3. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Friday: Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. Northeast wind between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 23.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 3.